Myth Busted

Passive Online Businesses – Biggest Myth in the Industry



“Absentee owner”, “Completely Passive”, “Sit back and count the money” are terms often used by both sellers and unfortunately many brokers. But do passive opportunities really exist, and if they do – how should one go about identifying them?

My typical consulting call with a person who’s new to web-based businesses begins like this:

Aspiring Web Entrepreneur: “I have a background in land-based business, sufficient entrepreneurial experience and $XXX,XXX saved up in cash, and I’d like to get involved in the web-based side of things by purchasing something”

Me: “Sure thing. What would you say is the most important aspect when it comes to choosing the opportunity to invest in? The niche/vertical? Stability? Growth opportunities?”

Aspiring Web Entrepreneur: “Definitely time. I need something that I don’t have to spend time on. Something that would run on its own and require very little of me beyond the initial investment.”

… and this is not an uncommon occurrence. In fact, the majority of new buyers nowadays claim to be looking for passive opportunities.

It’s almost as if someone has played an elaborate prank and put up large billboards advising business owners to switch to an online business because running one doesn’t take any time.

Passive purchase opportunities do exist … but they’re far and a few between.

Let me get something cleared up – passive opportunities exist. They really do. But during my nearly half a decade in the industry and the well over 150 transactions that I’ve overseen in one capacity or another, perhaps 15 have been what I would feel comfortable calling “truly passive”.

But yet – nearly 75% of web based businesses advertised for sale claim to be passive – at least do a degree.

In order to figure out where the logic error happens, we have to look a little bit beyond the word “passive”, and understand what “passive” actually means.

Personally, I like to separate those passive opportunities into four distinct groups:

Group 1 – Neglected Businesses

This is the group that the majority of “passive” businesses fall under.

Whilst the sellers and brokers of those businesses aren’t necessarily misrepresenting the business by saying that it takes its owner no time to run, they’re also not telling you that the reason behind this is that the business has simply been neglected.

This means that even though the current owner of the business might not spend a minute running it, continuing to do so would lead the business into a slow and painful death.

Many sellers realize this full well, which is often why they’re selling in the first place.

So how does one go about spotting a neglected business?

The easiest way is usually to look at the business’s historical financials and take a particular interest in its revenue trends. If the site’s revenue is on a steady decline with no apparent reason, then you’re likely dealing with an opportunity that has been neglected and is therefore on a downhill spiral.

Be careful though – brokers are keen to advise sellers that a declining revenue won’t do any good to the price, which is why many sellers “pick up things” a month or two before selling, to create an illusion that previously declining revenue is now back on track.

But that’s exactly that – an illusion. It’s typically achieved through one-off activities such as crazy-good promotional campaigns, sending a great offer to the site’s mailing list or putting up banners with significant holiday discounts. Those recent increases in revenue are rarely sustainable – and more importantly, never passive!

Group 2 – Scams

As I’ve covered before (severaltimes), there’s unfortunately a lot of scamming going on in our industry – both by sellers and some shady brokers.

Many of those scams are rather serious, such as misrepresented financials or under-declared expenditure, but a somewhat lighter form of scamming is misrepresenting the time needed to run a business.

It was only a few months ago that I noticed a fairly well known brokerage (I’m not mentioning any names but those who’ve been in the industry for a while will know!) was promoting an opportunity that looked something like this:

  • A drop-ship ecommerce business that sells 750 units per month in average.
  • No employees, no contractors.
  • Fully passive

It’s quite reasonable to expect that a drop-ship business is passive, right?

But what about customer support emails that I’m guessing the site is getting quite a lot of considering the order volume. What about product catalogue updates? What about refund requests, delivery errors, invoicing?

In short – there was nothing passive about this business, and whilst we’ll never know the truth, my personal guess is that the owner spent at least several hours per day running the day-to-day, and that’s not taking into account the (much needed) marketing activities.

Always apply a bucketful of common sense and take seller’s claims with a grain of salt. Try to think of any activities that the business might require and question the seller about them. Then request proof if the answer seems too good to be true, e.g. no support tickets at a 750 orders per month volume.

Group 3 – Outsourced Businesses

Moving on to the brighter side of things, we have businesses that are actually not passive at all, but the owner has been smart enough to outsource most of the day-to-day either to staff or to contractors.

Opportunities like this don’t surface anywhere near as often than those that fall into groups #1 and #2, but there’s plenty of them, and more as the time goes on as entrepreneurs start better understanding the value of outsourcing.

There are a few important things to bear in mind when looking at an outsourced business, though:

  • Is there a “safety net”? The worst thing that can happen to your business is a single employee/contractor having all of the business’s know-how, as should this employee decide to leave or simply get greedy, you’ll be in a dead end.
  • Are the employees loyal? How long have they been with the business? Are they happy with their salary? Are they willing to continue under new ownership? An interview with key employees in the due diligence stage is a must.
  • What are the management responsibilities? Even though properly outsourced businesses are fairly passive, managing people and making decisions also take time. Get a good understanding of how much time it takes and see if it correlates with your plans.

Group 4 – Truly Passive Businesses

The next and final group is the truly passive web businesses.

As I mentioned before, there aren’t many of them around, and those that do come up for sale typically get a buyer and go under offer in a matter of weeks, if not days – especially in the <$150k price segment.

Those are the true “set and forget” businesses – the ones that seemingly all buyers out there are dreaming about.

Those sites don’t have any employees to manage, don’t depend on a constant influx of content, don’t run on custom-developed platforms that need to be kept up to date, and don’t deal with customer support.

The only problem?

More often than not they’re just not good businesses!

As I’ve covered previously, there’s a clear difference between a business and a website – with the former being something that’s viable and sustainable, offers its clients something of value, and in general has the characteristics of a business.

The majority of those passive opportunities, however, can’t be considered businesses. Most of them are sites that have been thrown together by a web entrepreneur and they’ve happened to start ranking well on Google.

There’s of course nothing wrong with ranking well on Google, but if that’s what the “business” solely relies on then you can’t expect the site to stay operational and profitable for years to come. Read more about the dangers of depending on organic traffic here.

Apart from this, even those sites aren’t actually an absolute “set and forget” play. You will still need to address emergencies, update software versions, deal with spam and DMCA issues and much more. But that’s as close as you can get.

Conclusion

When consulting my time-poor clients both personally and through Deal Flow, I typically recommend them to look at Group 3, as that’s the closest to “passive” that one can get without taking on significant risks.

Something that most of my clients don’t like to hear though is that we’re operating in very much of a seller’s market, and there are far more buyers with cash at hand than there are good properties available.

Because of this, as someone who’s planning on completing an acquisition but doesn’t have much time, you can’t expect to find an absolute bargain (e.g. 1.5 years net earnings for an established and fully outsourced business), as there are many others similar to you ready to pay more.

If you see a broker listing something like this at a 1.5x multiple then approach it with extreme caution.

Share this!

56 Comment

  1. Thanks for writing this article Bryan. I agree that the “passive” sales pitch is overused by sellers and brokers alike and sets the wrong tone for buyers, especially the traditionals who are new to the online space.

    Unfortunately as we know, some sellers underestimate (or flat out lie) about what it actually takes to run a business on a day-to-day basis, so it’s important for buyers to really grasp what will be expected of them.

    A buyers goal should always be to increase the value of an investment. Automating processes by hiring outsourcers, using 3rd party software and web apps, using a fulfilmment center and other means of making a business more passive is a big step in increasing its value to a new owner. Even if a business has most of this in place, there could still be more room for automation, particularly with marketing.

    I’ve seen individual buyers and investors create a “passive” environment for their investment by partnering with someone who has internet marketing/online business experience and they solely act as the “money guy”, or hiring website management services (more recently being offered by some brokers) where buyers pay out a % of ongoing earnings as a management fee. In other scenarios I’ve seen sellers willing to stick around for a year or longer to fully manage the business for an ongoing fee.

    My advice is that buyers should just always expect to have to work on a new business they acquire in some capacity, but should be looking for ways to make it more passive or finding creative solutions to avoiding the work themselves before and after they take it over.

    • Thanks for your comments Ryan.

      …I’ve seen individual buyers and investors create a “passive” environment for their investment by partnering with someone who has internet marketing/online business experience and they solely act as the “money guy”…

      I’ve also witnessed this happening a lot lately, and whilst it’s a feasible strategy, what many buyers who opt for it don’t realise is the significant risks that it carries:

      – Having one person in charge of all of your assets means that should anything happen to this person, you’re done. Even more importantly, it effectively puts this person in exactly the right spot to keep demanding more and more as it’s not difficult for them to realise what they’re worth.

      – There are several horror stories about arrangements like this, where the “manager” has decided that enough is enough and ran off with the “employee’s” IP and/or started competing businesses on their own.

      I’m not trying to discourage anybody from doing this, just pointing out that in many cases it’s easier said than done and the person/people should be selected very carefully and a back-up plan should also be in place.

      …or hiring website management services (more recently being offered by some brokers) where buyers pay out a % of ongoing earnings as a management fee…

      Interesting. We actually experimented with a service like this about a year ago from under Centurica, but it never took off for various issues with the concept (I won’t get into them here but may put up a separate post about it at one point). Didn’t know that brokers have now started offering it though. Which brokers are you talking about if you don’t mind me asking?

  2. Great write-up Bryan. The “passive” thing has to be one of the biggest myths of the web. Sure, any well-structured business could be “passive-ish” if you’re lazy about it, but if you are, you can rest assured that there are hordes of un-lazy out there working every day to pass you up, and given time, they absolutely will. Truth is that people like Tim Ferriss are still working 50 hour work weeks to accomplish anything.

    P.S. Led here after your AMA on reddit, keep up the awesome work.

    • Thanks Corey! Glad you liked the article and my AMA. I must say the AMA was an absolute time drain but it’s incredibly nice to see all the feedback from people who liked/appreciated it.

  3. I always used to read article in news papers but now as I
    am a user of net therefore from now I am using net for articles or reviews, thanks to web.

  4. Hello there, just became alert to your blog through Google, and found that
    it is really informative. I’m going to watch out
    for brussels. I’ll appreciate if you continue this in future.

    Numerous people will be benefited from your writing.
    Cheers!

  5. If you would like to improve your knowledge just keep visiting this web page and be updated with the latest
    information posted here.

  6. Excellent beat ! I wish to apprentice while you amend your site, how can i subscribe for a blog website? The account aided me a acceptable deal. I had been tiny bit acquainted of this your broadcast offered bright clear concept

  7. Perfectly indited written content , thankyou for information .

  8. When someone writes an piece of writing he/she
    retains the plan of a user in his/her mind that how a user can be aware of
    it. Thus that’s why this post is amazing. Thanks!

  9. Wow that was unusual. I just wrote an really long comment but after I
    clicked submit my comment didn’t appear. Grrrr…
    well I’m not writing all that over again. Anyways, just wanted to say great blog!

  10. Have you ever thought about publishing an e-book or guest authoring on other websites?

    I have a blog centered on the same information you discuss and
    would love to have you share some stories/information.
    I know my subscribers would value your work.
    If you are even remotely interested, feel free
    to send me an e mail.

  11. Hi! This is my 1st comment here so I just wanted to give a quick shout
    out and tell you I really enjoy reading your blog posts.
    Can you recommend any other blogs/websites/forums that cover
    the same subjects? Appreciate it!

  12. magnificent publish, very informative. I wonder why the opposite specialists of this sector don’t realize this.
    You should proceed your writing. I am confident, you have
    a huge readers’ base already!

  13. Hello there! I know this is kind of off topic but I
    was wondering if you knew where I could get a captcha plugin for my comment form?

    I’m using the same blog platform as yours and I’m having difficulty finding one?
    Thanks a lot!

  14. It’s impressive that you are getting thoughts from this
    piece of writing as well as from our discussion made here.

  15. Wonderful blog! I found it while searching on Yahoo News.

    Do you have any tips on how to get listed in Yahoo News? I’ve been trying for a while
    but I never seem to get there! Cheers

  16. What’s Taking place i am new to this, I stumbled upon this I have discovered
    It positively useful and it has aided me out loads.

    I’m hoping to give a contribution & aid different customers
    like its helped me. Great job.

  17. hi!,I love your writing very so much! proportion we keep up
    a correspondence extra about your article on AOL?
    I need an expert in this space to solve my problem.

    May be that is you! Looking forward to see you.

  18. This post is worth everyone’s attention. Where can I find out more?

  19. I know this if off topic but I’m looking into starting my own blog and was wondering what all
    is needed to get setup? I’m assuming having a blog like yours would cost a pretty penny?
    I’m not very web smart so I’m not 100% sure. Any suggestions or advice would be greatly
    appreciated. Many thanks

  20. Excellent goods from you, man. I have understand your stuff previous to and you’re
    just too great. I actually like what you’ve acquired here, really like what you are stating and the way in which you say it.
    You make it enjoyable and you still care for to keep it smart.
    I cant wait to read much more from you. This is actually a great website.

  21. great submit, very informative. I ponder why the other specialists of this
    sector do not realize this. You should continue your writing.
    I am sure, you’ve a huge readers’ base already!

  22. I savour, result in I found exactly what I was taking a
    look for. You’ve ended my 4 day lengthy hunt! God Bless you man. Have
    a nice day. Bye

  23. This post will assist the internet visitors for setting up new webpage or even a blog from start to end.

  24. My brother suggested I may like this blog. He was totally right.
    This put up actually made my day. You cann’t consider just how
    a lot time I had spent for this info! Thank you!

  25. What’s Taking place i am new to this, I stumbled upon this I’ve discovered It absolutely useful and
    it has helped me out loads. I am hoping to give a contribution & aid different customers like its aided me.
    Good job.

  26. I am really glad to read this weblog posts which includes plenty of valuable facts,
    thanks for providing these information.

  27. It’s actually a great and useful piece of info. I am satisfied that you shared this helpful
    information with us. Please stay us informed like this.
    Thank you for sharing.

  28. Way cool! Some very valid points! I appreciate you
    writing this write-up plus the rest of the site is
    extremely good.

  29. Awesome post.

  30. Hello there! This is my first visit to your blog! We are a group of volunteers and starting
    a new project in a community in the same niche.
    Your blog provided us valuable information to work on. You have done
    a extraordinary job!

  31. Hi everyone, it’s my first pay a quick visit at this website,
    and paragraph is actually fruitful in support of me, keep up posting such articles or reviews.

  32. Appreciating the dedication you put into your site and detailed
    information you offer. It’s nice to come across a blog every once in a while that isn’t the same outdated rehashed information. Great read!
    I’ve saved your site and I’m adding your RSS feeds to my Google account.

  33. Pretty great post. I just stumbled upon your blog and wished
    to say that I’ve really enjoyed browsing your blog posts.

    After all I will be subscribing for your rss feed and
    I am hoping you write once more very soon!

  34. Hello, its pleasant piece of writing regarding media print, we all understand media is a fantastic source of facts.

  35. Hello there! Do you know if they make any plugins to assist with SEO?
    I’m trying to get my blog to rank for some targeted keywords
    but I’m not seeing very good success. If you know of any
    please share. Appreciate it!

  36. Woah! I’m really digging the template/theme
    of this site. It’s simple, yet effective. A lot of times it’s hard to get that “perfect balance” between superb
    usability and appearance. I must say you’ve done a excellent job with this.
    Also, the blog loads super quick for me on Internet explorer.
    Outstanding Blog!

  37. Heya i’m for the first time here. I found this board and I find It really useful &
    it helped me out a lot. I hope to give something back and help others like you
    helped me.

  38. you’re actually a good webmaster. The site
    loading velocity is incredible. It sort of feels that you’re doing any unique trick.
    Furthermore, The contents are masterwork. you have done a fantastic activity on this subject!

  39. Amazing blog! Do you have any tips and hints for aspiring writers?
    I’m hoping to start my own website soon but I’m a
    little lost on everything. Would you advise starting with a
    free platform like WordPress or go for a paid option? There are so many choices out there that I’m totally overwhelmed ..

    Any suggestions? Appreciate it!

  40. Article writing is also a excitement, if you know then you can write otherwise it is difficult to write.

  41. This is very interesting, You are a very skilled blogger.
    I’ve joined your rss feed and look forward to seeking more of your wonderful
    post. Also, I have shared your web site in my social networks!

  42. excellent points altogether, you simply gained a brand new reader.
    What may you recommend in regards to your publish that you made some days in the past?
    Any positive?

  43. I’m extremely impressed with your writing skills and also with the layout on your weblog.

    Is this a paid theme or did you customize it yourself?
    Anyway keep up the nice quality writing, it’s rare to see a great
    blog like this one these days.

  44. First off I would like to say fantastic blog!
    I had a quick question which I’d like to ask if you
    do not mind. I was curious to find out how you
    center yourself and clear your thoughts before writing.

    I have had trouble clearing my thoughts in getting my thoughts out.

    I do enjoy writing but it just seems like the first
    10 to 15 minutes are wasted just trying to figure out how to begin. Any suggestions or tips?
    Cheers!

  45. Hi, i read your blog occasionally and i own a similar one and
    i was just curious if you get a lot of spam responses? If
    so how do you protect against it, any plugin or anything you can suggest?
    I get so much lately it’s driving me insane so any
    help is very much appreciated.

  46. Its like you learn my thoughts! You seem to grasp a lot about this, like you wrote the book in it or something.
    I believe that you simply could do with some % to pressure the message house
    a little bit, but other than that, that is
    excellent blog. A great read. I’ll definitely be back.

  47. Helpful info. Lucky me I discovered your site by accident, and I am surprised why this twist of fate didn’t
    happened earlier! I bookmarked it.

  48. For hottest news you have to pay a visit world wide web and on world-wide-web I found this web site as a finest web site for
    hottest updates.

  49. My coder is trying to persuade me to move to .net from
    PHP. I have always disliked the idea because of the expenses.

    But he’s tryiong none the less. I’ve been using Movable-type on a number of websites for about a year
    and am nervous about switching to another platform.
    I have heard very good things about blogengine.net.
    Is there a way I can transfer all my wordpress content into it?
    Any kind of help would be really appreciated!

  50. Amazing things here. I am very satisfied to peer your article.
    Thanks so much and I am looking forward to contact you.
    Will you please drop me a mail?

  51. I really like looking through a post that will make people think.
    Also, thank you for allowing for me to comment!

  52. Greetings from Colorado! I’m bored to tears at work so I decided to
    browse your site on my iphone during lunch break. I love the information you provide here and can’t
    wait to take a look when I get home. I’m shocked at how fast your blog loaded on my cell phone
    .. I’m not even using WIFI, just 3G .. Anyways, awesome blog!

  53. Wonderful article! We will be linking to this particularly great post on our website.
    Keep up the great writing.

  54. Hey there! I realize this is kind of off-topic however I had to ask.
    Does running a well-established website like yours take a massive amount work?

    I am completely new to blogging however I do write in my
    journal everyday. I’d like to start a blog so I will be able to share my personal experience and thoughts online.

    Please let me know if you have any suggestions or tips for new aspiring blog owners.

    Thankyou!

Leave a Comment